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Gary Sharpe's avatar

I am becoming more and more convinced that the tech singularity path will be rapidly self-terminating. This direction relies on total digital surveillance and control of the vast majority of the world and remaining human population. This requires us to be permanently connected with powered up device and technologies... i.e. it is inherently energy consuming. If there are rolling blackouts of power then the control mechanism break. Yet the planned path seems to only lead to an imherently low energy and hence low tech world.

Recall, we defined anti-knowledge as "when a theory doesn't match, explain or predict the real world observations, the real life world is taken as being wrong, and the theory is upheld!!!", and we said that this is rife in our society currently, in part due to the siloed nature of expertise due ultra-specialization, which is inherent in the Tech singularity.

I inadvertently came across another stark example of this, in a presentation by Prof. Simon Michaux of the Geological Survey of Finland. He simply added up all the minerals and metals which will be needed to replace all fossil fuel plants with renewable energy, wind turbines and solar panels, and replace the vehicle pool with electric cars. It seems that none of the technocrats planing the goal of phasing out fossil fuels thought to do these basic sums [so are operating on anti-knowledge].

Michaux's findings are stark, and a little frightening, but point to the dream of net zero/green revolution being highly unrealistic.

According to his sums, for the first generation of renewable energy infrastructure, we would need:

4.5 trillion tonnes of copper, which at todays rate of extraction, would take 190 years to mine. Of course, we could vastly increase our copper mining activities, at the expense of burning more fossil fuels and significantly increasing mining pollution, but even if we did that, the known reserves of all the copper in the world amount to 800 billion tonnes, i.e. 20% of the total needed. Even then, this first generation of renewable infrastructure would need replacing in 20 years.

Michaux goes on to do the same sums for all the other metals needed, e.g. Nickel: 940 billion tonnes, which would take 400 years at current mining rates, and the world only contains 10% of this amount, or Lithium: 944 billions tonnes, which would take 10,000 years to mine, and the world only contains 2% of this amount.

As far as I know, no-one has been able to dispute Michaux's figures, and he would need to be many orders of magnitude to wrong for the solution to become workable.

What was clear from his presentation is that our glorious technocratic leaders are operating on anti-knowledge, and are likely to drive of us off a cliff in their steadfast pursuit of a solution which is unreal. I'm not sure what is most frightening here: that they know full well these numbers, and are going to drive of us off the cliff anyway, or they don't know or understand the implications of these numbers, and are totally incompetent.

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Mark Bisone's avatar

Grand slam homer, Harrison!

For my money. Langan (and by extension you) really nailed it here:

"To bring this about, it is not enough to merely distribute a cognitive avoidance mechanism out of which the moneyed elite can buy and bribe their way as usual, given the absence of a well-defined alternative direction in which humanity can proceed; rather, an alternative direction must be defined and universally distributed in cognitive and attitudinal form. In short, in order to have a meaningful mass awakening, the content of the awakening must be defined and distributed to the members of humanity, thus immunizing them against parasitic mind control. Because this content must be spiritual, the involvement of religion is unavoidable."

This statement perfectly encapsulates the reason I started my own stack. Not only is it insufficient to play this game on their turf, by their rules, using their language; it's counterproductive to the point of devolution. A new language model (or, at least class of modalities) must be deployed widely in order to advance the Human Singularity.

This was particularly helpful to me. I'm still working on my "Devil" series, but was stuck on how to best describe the fluctuating relationship between actuality and potentiality. Langan seems to have hit on something like that with "telic recursion". Thanks for introducing him to me.

(And I agree; ponerology cannot fall by the wayside here. I think its role is more important than ever, and if anything should be expanded.)

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